Even without Khris Middleton, this second-round series turned out to be a battle of two Eastern Conference juggernauts. As such, our NBA betting picks for Game 7 expect one last showdown – relying on Milwaukee to stay in the 5-point count.
Boston got the road win it needed to force a Game 7 that every basketball fan should be able to enjoy this afternoon.
Jayson Tatum and Giannis Antetokounmpo have traded haymakers throughout this series, and there’s every reason to think they’ll both be doing another show today.
With the Celtics as decent-sized favorites at home, Giannis will need help to continue defending the Bucks’ title.
Here are our free NBA picks and predictions for the Bucks at the Celtics on May 15.
Bucks vs Celtics Game 7 odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each regulated sports betting market.
Boston opened as a 5- or 5.5-point favorite late Friday night, and that line settled at -5 before long. The total opened at 209.5 and fell steadily to 206.5 early Saturday afternoon.
Use the live odds widget above to track all future line moves up to the warning and be sure to check all NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Bucks vs Celtics Game 7 Predictions
Predictions made on 05/15/2022 at 4:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to go to the full analysis.
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Bucks Game 7 vs. Celtics Info
• Location: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
• Date: Sunday, May 15, 2022
• Trick: 3:30 p.m. ET
Bucks vs Celtics Series Odds
Bucks vs Celtics Game 7 betting overview
Deer: Khris Middleton SF (A).
Celtics: No injuries to report.
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend you need to know
In the past three playoffs, the Celtics have gone 3-2 ATS and straight in games in which they could be knocked out of the playoffs, while the Bucks have gone 3-1 ATS and SU in such times. . Find more NBA betting trends for the Bucks vs. Celtics.
Bucks vs Celtics Game 7 picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based on our analysis of the line and total in this match. Our best bet is our preferred choice in all markets.
Until the champion is dead, never count the champion. The Bucks may be down to their second-best offensive threat in Khris Middleton, but they’ve always found ways to emphasize the league’s best defense this season.
The scoreboard may not reflect that, averaging 100.5 ppg, but realize the Celtics gave up 107.3 ppg in the 22 games after the All-Star break. The lack of drama and urgency of the regular season drove those numbers up, while the sheer intensity of the playoffs limited what Milwaukee could do in every way. Achieving triple digits was impressive in itself.
But that was not enough, of course. Yet today, the Bucks will hardly need to reach 100 to cover the spread. The total of 206.5 and a difference of -5 suggests a final score of 106-101.
Giannis alone will account for more than a third of those Milwaukee points. He averaged 35.3 points per game this series, adding 6.8 assists and 13.8 rebounds. Supporting the Bucks today is supporting Giannis. Giannis backs up a two-time MVP and the reigning Finals MVP when his back is against the wall.
And supporting Giannis goes against Tatum. Consider it a nod to experience. Tatum may be in his fifth year and one game away from his third conference finals, but he just doesn’t have Antetokounmpo’s playoff experience.
Giannis is in his ninth season and seventh in the playoffs, averaging over 30 playoff points for the second year in a row. Tatum broke that mark last year, but in just five games. He hasn’t played at this high level against the absolute best competition for an extended period…yet.
That day will come, but to assume that day is today is a bold move, especially since the Celtics would need to win by at least six to lend credence to another outburst from Tatum.
Additionally, Boston has been favored by multiple buckets three times in this series. He lost two of those matches instantly. That -5 or -5.5 looks too much like a 3 point pointer.
Prediction: Dollars +5.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
Covers NBA betting analysis
This is the lowest total of this series. They started at 218.5 in Game 1, but for Games 3-6 they dropped to between 211.5 and 213.5. Even compared to those suppressed numbers, that 206.5 is a low number. Too low.
Defenses can dominate the day in this series and especially in Game 7, but the offensive potential of a close score late in the game should be too much for such a low total.
These two teams have averaged 58.25 points in their last four quarters. It’s no coincidence that three of those games happened in the final minutes, and the fourth was a two possession game with less than nine minutes left.
Tight and tense games increase point totals. It goes against the intuition of the physical play and defense playoffs, but buckets like Tatum and Giannis still pull it off.
Prediction: More than 206.5 (-110 at the Césars)
The Celtics’ money line can be had at -200 currently at BetMGM, and Boston should win today, but Giannis would have to be kept out of the way in the final five minutes to win by at least six. Freight trains are generally not stopped as easily or consistently.
The safest bet in this series is a good game, a close game and an entertaining last minute. Milwaukee won Game 1 hands down, and Boston returned that favor in Games 2 and 6. To easily win those two, the Celtics shot 43% from deep (37 of 86 combined). Profiting from such positive shot variance is obviously unlikely.
Betting on the Bucks to cover today is betting on this streak ending as it deserves, with Giannis playing as the best player in the world and the Celtics missing a few more threes. Frankly, this all seems more likely than not.
To take: Dollars +5.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
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